Pascal's Wager is the opportunity for a mathematician turned theologian to justify their view of cosmic order in the mathematical ways they've come to know. What's the pay off if you're right and what's the pay off if you're wrong. If the pay off for being right far outweighs that for being wrong, should we out of principle take the wager? Ask Laplace and we have a different framing. Now probability has replaced the divine role so the aspect of choice has been eliminated. Probability no longer informs a bet on divine order, divine order is a subsidiary part of probability. Laplace's famous demon is not an impossible gambit on an all-controlling deity as popularly assumed, but a thesis that cosmic order can be predicated by sheer mathematical analysis. Pascal's world still contains Christian state law, but Laplace's does not. How do we culturally bind people without such moral institutions? It turns out fairly easily. We don't need t...
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